Stochastic Lotka-Volterra with Demographic Noise

Population extinction events emerge from integer-valued stochastic dynamics
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Stochastic Lotka-Volterra: integer populations X (prey), Y (predator). Reactions: X→2X at rate αX, X+Y→2Y at rate βXY/N, Y→∅ at rate δY. Deterministic fixed point: X*=δ/β, Y*=αN/β. Demographic noise ~ 1/√N causes spiraling trajectories to random-walk into extinction. Large N: quasi-cycles persist; small N: rapid extinction.