Endemic SIR Model

Disease persistence and endemic equilibria with birth/death vital dynamics

Susceptible (S)
Infected (I)
Recovered (R)
Endemic equilibrium

Parameters

Statistics

R₀
Endemic S*
Endemic I*
Herd immunity threshold
With vital dynamics (births = deaths = μ), a disease can persist as endemic if R₀ > 1. The endemic equilibrium is S* = 1/R₀, I* = μ(R₀−1)/(β).