Earth's Energy Budget & Radiative Forcing

Greenhouse gas concentrations, logarithmic forcing, and equilibrium temperature

420 ppm
1900 ppb
335 ppb
1361 W/m²
0.30
0.80 K/(W/m²)
+0.0 W/m²
CO₂ Forcing
+0.0 W/m²
CH₄ Forcing
+0.0 W/m²
N₂O Forcing
+0.0 W/m²
Total RF
+0.0°C
ΔT Equilibrium
288K
T_surface
CO₂ forcing is logarithmic: ΔF = 5.35·ln(C/C₀) W/m². Doubling CO₂ gives ~3.7 W/m² forcing. Equilibrium warming: ΔT = λ·ΔF, where λ is climate sensitivity (ECS ~3°C per doubling = λ≈0.8). Pre-industrial reference: CO₂ = 280 ppm, CH₄ = 700 ppb, N₂O = 270 ppb. Current (2024) CO₂ forcing ≈ +2.3 W/m² above pre-industrial.