Optimal Stopping — Secretary Problem

1/e rule · Explore-exploit · Animated candidate sequence

Parameters

Results

Skip threshold k
Best candidate rank
Stopped at rank
Outcome
Success rate (MC)
Theory: 1/e ≈36.79%
Secretary problem: N candidates arrive in random order. You must decide immediately whether to hire each one. Optimal strategy: skip the first k* ≈ N/e candidates to learn the distribution, then hire the next one better than all previous. This achieves success probability → 1/e ≈ 36.8% as N→∞, independent of N.