Lorenz System
Edward Lorenz discovered this system in 1963 while modeling atmospheric convection. Two trajectories starting a hair’s breadth apart diverge exponentially — the butterfly effect. Adjust the parameters and watch deterministic chaos unfold in real time.
What’s happening
The Lorenz equations
In 1963, Edward Lorenz was running a simplified model of atmospheric convection on an early computer. He rounded an intermediate value from 0.506127 to 0.506 and restarted the simulation. The result diverged wildly from the original run. He had stumbled onto sensitive dependence on initial conditions — the hallmark of chaos.
The equations
dx/dt = σ(y - x) dy/dt = x(ρ - z) - y dz/dt = xy - βz
Three coupled ordinary differential equations. Three variables (x, y, z). Three parameters (σ, ρ, β). The standard values σ = 10, ρ = 28, β = 8/3 produce the classic butterfly-shaped attractor. The system is deterministic — the same initial conditions always produce the same trajectory — yet nearby trajectories diverge exponentially.
The butterfly effect
Two trajectories starting just 0.001 apart will track each other closely for a while, then
suddenly diverge. This is not randomness — it is deterministic chaos. The divergence rate
is measured by the Lyapunov exponent. For the classic parameters, the largest Lyapunov exponent
is about 0.9, meaning nearby trajectories separate by a factor of e roughly every
1.1 time units.
The strange attractor
Despite the chaos, trajectories don’t fly off to infinity. They are confined to a strange attractor — a fractal set with Hausdorff dimension approximately 2.06. The trajectory never crosses itself (in the full 3D space), never repeats, yet stays within a bounded butterfly-shaped region forever. This is the geometric signature of deterministic chaos.
Parameter regimes
The behavior depends critically on ρ. For ρ < 1, the origin is the only attractor and all trajectories decay to rest. At ρ = 1, the origin loses stability through a pitchfork bifurcation. Between 1 < ρ < 24.74, two stable fixed points appear. At ρ ≈ 24.74, a subcritical Hopf bifurcation creates the chaotic attractor. The classic value ρ = 28 is solidly in the chaotic regime.