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Genetic Drift

Theory
Fix. prob P(fix) =
E[fix time] = gen
Results
Fixed A₁: 0
Fixed A₂: 0
Segregating: 0
Wright-Fisher model: next gen sampled from binomial(N, p') where
p' = p(1+s)/(1+sp)
+ mutation: p→p(1−μ)+μ(1−p)

Kimura fixation prob:
P(fix) ≈ 2s for new mutation
= 1/(2N) for neutral (s=0)

Expected fixation time:
≈ 4N generations (neutral)