Extinction Vortex

Gilpin & Soulé 1986 — small populations spiral toward extinction through interacting forces

Population State

Population size (N)
Inbreeding (F)
Genetic diversity
Demographic stochast.
Extinction probability
The Vortex:
1Population declines below viable threshold
2Inbreeding ↑, genetic diversity ↓
3Inbreeding depression reduces fitness
4Demographic stochasticity amplified
5Population shrinks further → repeat

Parameters