Collective Sensing — Crowd Intelligence

Square-root law for group signal detection and optimal group size

Each agent independently measures a weak signal S with Gaussian noise ε ~ N(0,σ²). The collective estimate averages N independent measurements: SNR_group = S·√N / σ. This √N improvement is the statistical basis of wisdom-of-crowds phenomena (Galton 1907). When communication carries a cost c per agent, the effective net benefit peaks at an optimal group size N* ≈ (S/σ·c)² — too large a group pays more than it gains. Right panel: SNR vs group size, with cost-adjusted net benefit curve (gold).